Showing posts with label Jeffrey Towson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jeffrey Towson. Show all posts

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Next: home-grown designers - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
China has moved away from its copycat culture in much of manufacturing and R&D, but is still lacking experienced talent when it comes to developing design. That is just a matter of time, tells Peking University business professor Jeffrey Towson to Bloomberg. Branding and quality of design are getting higher on the agenda.

Bloomberg:
There may be a brighter future for home-grown designers..., said Mr Jeffrey Towson, a professor of investment at Guanghua School of Management at Peking University. 
China has invested heavily in art and design schools and that is bearing fruit, with more than a million art and design students graduating every year since 2009, he noted. 
"They don't have the experience yet, but they have the talent. "Fifteen years ago, nobody hired Chinese engineers. Now, every Fortune 500 company builds R&D centres in China. 
"It's going to be the same with designers."
More at Bloomberg.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more branding experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

The disrupting power of China's consumers - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
China's consumers are becoming increasingly a force the rest of the world has to take into account, writes Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson at his weblog. Not only have Chinese more disposable income, they not only go for cheap offers, and regularly disrupt the world.

Jeffrey Towson:
Chinese consumers continue to grow relentlessly in number and wealth. This is a well-studied economic trend. But what people are missing is how the changing behavior of these consumers is now regularly shaking the world. 
Suddenly when Chinese consumers start eating more meat, it impacts agriculture in the American midwest. When they discover northern Thailand as a fun destination, they flood the area with tourists. When Chinese consumers change their minds about something, it now ripples outward into the global economy. And these types of phenomena are going to become a lot more noticeable in the coming years. 
The economic trend underlying this is the steady advance of China’s urban middle class families. This is the group to watch. According to McKinsey & Co., Chinese urban household disposable income will reach $8,000 a year by 2020. This will be about the same level as South Korea, but in a much, much larger population. After Middle Eastern oil, Chinese urban middle class families are arguably the most valuable natural resource on the planet. 
But within this big trend, an important shift is now occurring. Urban families are rapidly transitioning from “value hunters” to more emotional, aspirational and free-spending consumers. 
Price-focused consumers have dominated the China story thus far. They typically have had little brand loyalty and tend to shop around for the best deals, mostly for life’s necessities. Chinese companies such as Haier Group and China Vanke have done very well selling these consumers air conditioners and apartments at affordable prices. 
The more emotional group now emerging, called “new mainstream” consumers by McKinsey, already has life’s basics. And they have enough disposable income to buy discretionary items such as lattes and trips to Thailand. 
What this new group cares about is quality, brand and how products make them feel. So they want real iPhones, not cheap alternatives, and they are able and willing to pay for them. What is fascinating about this group is that they behave fairly similarly to consumers in developed markets.
More at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more consumer experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check this list.  

Friday, May 12, 2017

How to push ahead with private hospitals - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Medical reform in China has been lagging, and private hospitals hardly play a role, because patients to not trust them, and medical staff does not want to leave state-funded career. Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson explains on his weblog what could be a road to reform, with the help of investment bankers.

Jeffrey Towson:
I argue the shortest path to this situation is to merge 200 existing small public hospitals under a large and well-run commercial SOE. Hence my argument for investment bankers. 
We let the M&A bankers start rolling up smaller public hospitals into 5-10 big SOE hospital chains. Pull 100-200 small state-owned (and not particularly well-run) hospitals together under one well-managed commercially-focused SOE (there are several). And then let that group knit the hospital mix together into a functioning and modern chain. 
One SOE that comes to mind for this type of SOE consolidation strategy is China Resources. They have done exactly this in other sectors (beer, retail). This approach would also create a clear role for private money in public hospitals: to finance the deals, provide incentives and upgrade facilities. Nobody is going to invest private money in today’s small, stand-alone SOE hospitals. But a larger the SOE M&A roll-up could attract private capital. 
And my biggest argument for this approach is it doesn’t require fighting or replacing the entire existing system. Private hospitals and insurance can then develop slowly in parallel.
More at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is the co-author of The One Hour China Book (2017 Edition): Two Peking University Professors Explain All of China Business in Six Short Stories

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau.  Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.
Are you interested in more stories by Jeffrey Towson? Do check out this list.

Wednesday, May 10, 2017

What to do when you fail in China - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Carlsberg and Ford are two Western companies who were on they way down in China, but managed to renew themselves. Beida Business professor Jeffrey Towson uses on his website their examples to explain what companies can do to change their China operation for the better to draw some important lessons. (With a sidestep to Nanjing Fiat)

Jeffrey Towson:
Lesson 1: You don’t necessarily need to get to China early to win. 
Ford only really started producing cars in China in significant numbers in 2005 (61,000 sold in 2005). This was way behind General Motors, which established its joint venture with SAIC in 1997. And it was decades after Volkswagen launched its China joint venture in 1984. 
Being early is an advantage for sure. But in some businesses, it is never too late go after the China market. 
Lesson #2: You don’t need to start off in first tier cities. 
Ford did not partner with a major automotive group in a coastal first tier city. It did not go to Beijing, Shanghai or Shenzhen / Guangzhou. It went to Chongqing, far inland. 
While I have not seen Ford’s sales breakdown by region, it would not be surprising to see the company doing particularly well in the inland markets. Like Carlsberg, going deeper inland and perhaps avoiding the more entrenched competition in the coastal cities, was a good strategy. 
The other factor here is that an inland headquarters has the advantage of lower labor costs. Manufacturers are increasingly moving inland to avoid rising labor costs on the coast. 
Lesson 3: Market share can shift fairly quickly in China 
General Motors’ auto sales increased to about 3.9 million in China in 2016. That is up from 3.6 million in 2015. Volkswagen is in the same sales range. There is definitely some market stability at the front of the pack. 
However, market share in the middle shifts quickly. In the past years, Ford has surpassed Toyota and its two joint-venture partners which sold 917,500 cars (a 9% increase). Ford also passed Honda’s China volume at 756,000 cars (a 26% increase). So market share can move quickly in the middle.
More in Jeffrey Towson's weblog. Here is part one.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more strategy experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

Monday, May 08, 2017

Franchising is key for Yum! in China - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Yum! China has been spun-off and needs a solid strategy to grow in China. Franchising is such a key strategy, writes Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson on his weblog. " This is exactly what 3G Capital has done since acquiring Burger King."

Jeffrey Towson:
Most of the China outlets are owned. Franchising new outlets would accelerate growth. While Yum’s +7,000 China outlets is a lot, it is not overwhelming for China. You could have a lot more. Franchising would get you there faster. 
But franchising decreases operational control. That has big implications in general. And this is a particular concern in a country rife with food safety issues. 
Another idea is to just franchise the existing outlets. That would really move the needle financially. It would free up a lot of capital, get the employees off the payroll and spike the return on equity. 
Note: This is exactly what 3G Capital has done since acquiring Burger King. They shifted the existing units to franchises and have more than doubled their earnings in a few years. However, I believe the China Burger King franchise is still under a master franchise agreement with Cartesian Capital in New York. So this is mostly a non-China story. Anyways, I wouldn’t be surprised if the activists bring up ... franchising repeatedly.
More at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need hi at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more recent stories by Jeffrey Towson? Do check out this list.  

Friday, May 05, 2017

Drug scandals will dwarf China's food scandals - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson gives on his weblog reasons why China's drug scandals will be larger than any of its past food scandals. Morbidity is larger. Drug scandals are harder to detect and the profitability of the fake drug industry is higher. More troublesome: the industry is going global.

Jeffrey Towson:
#4 Unlike most food scandals, drug scandals are a global problem. 
If you are taking a pill in the US, part of it probably came from China. Over 80% of the world’s active pharmaceutical ingredients are now made in China and India (but mostly in China). So these drug problems have global reach. 
The most famous example of this was the 2008 Heparin scandal. Tainted Heparin from China ended up killing over 240 Americans. As a result, 34 China facilities (via Baxter International) were banned from exporting. 
And it gets more complicated. A lot of these quality problems are actually in the chemistry, as opposed to just in the final drug or in the active pharmaceutical ingredient. In 2012, police in China detained +60 people who were making chromium-tainted gel capsules with industrial waste. The police seized over 77 million gel capsules and shut down 80 production lines. Think about those numbers for a moment. 77M capsules and 80 production lines. 
But the biggest “global” aspect of this problem is likely in other developing economies. Fake drugs are everywhere in SE Asia and Africa. And many are coming from China. The morbidity and mortality resulting from this is hard to overstate. For example, the Wellcome Trust estimated that one-third of the malaria drugs in Uganda may be fake or substandard. 
Final Point: Pharmaceuticals in China are going to grow. But absent improvements, drug scandals could also become much bigger as well. 
Healthcare spending today in China is about 6% of GDP, up from 4-5% a few years ago. It is likely on its way to 12-13%. And China’s pharmaceutical market, already big at $108B (2015), is growing along with this. All of this is good news. It follows naturally from growing domestic demand (aging + increasing wealth + more chronic disease) and a continued movement of pharmaceutical production to China. 
So this is a big market that is growing fast and developing in sophistication. But it logically follows that any future quality problems will also be larger in scale. That is worrisome.
More at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you interested in more strategic experts on the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Getting approval to buy MoneyGram might be tough - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
The surprise announcement Alibaba's Ant Financial is trying to buy MoneyGram International is not a done deal, warns Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson. Chinese companies buying Americans is under scrutiny and in the financial industry it would be a first one, he tells the VOA.

VOA:
The Ant Financial mascot is--an ant. The company hopes to expand in the U.S. 
If Ant Financial’s offer is accepted, the deal must still gain the approval of the Committee for Foreign Investment in the United States, known as CFIUS. Some experts believe this would be the first test for a Chinese financial company seeking to do business in the U.S. 
Jeffrey Towson is a professor of investments at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management. 
He told VOA that “getting approval from CFIUS might be more difficult this year. Plus, Chinese acquisitions are more on the media radar than before. And finally, there is also a competing bidder, Euronet, and they will probably push for a regulatory denial based on security concerns.”
More at the Voice of America.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts at China's outbound investments at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.    

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

How young consumers have become different - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
The first wave of Chinese consumers has always been hard to get: prudent, and worried about their future. Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson describes at his weblog how the millennials have become an altogether different breed of consumers. On brand loyalty, emotion and confidence.

Jeffrey Towson:
There are approximately 200M Chinese between 15 and 24 years of age. They are about 15% of the population and have, by and large, been raised in abundance. Unlike previous generations, most have no memory of hunger or extreme hardship. They have mostly grown up in modern apartments with modern conveniences. 
They are a very different and pretty awesome group. Here are three ways they are different: 
1. They are more brand loyal than other middle class Chinese consumers. They are also more interested in trying new products. 
2. They are more emotional (in terms of buying) and less concerned with being frugal. If you are focused on up-trading consumers, this is your group. 
3. They are really confident about their own financial futures. This group is super-confident and that enables spending. 
Basically, this is the demographic the whole world has been waiting for: emotional, confident, big- spending Chinese consumers. They are also the demographic that is most similar to consumers in developed economies.
More at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more branding experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

Friday, April 14, 2017

Ctrip: Airbnb's real threat - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Airbnb has a chance in China, unlike many other US companies in the past, argued Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson earlier in the Guardian. On his weblog he gives the US company six additional advises, including marrying into Tencent and Alibaba. Also, Airbnb's real threat it the travel company Ctrip.

Jeffrey Towson:
Airbnb should worry about Ctrip. This is their biggest threat. 
In September, Airbnb announced it has had “a 500% increase in outbound travel from China in just the past year.” They also said “since 2008, there [has] been over 2 million guest arrivals from China at Airbnb listings worldwide.” These numbers strike me as pretty suspect (if you have good numbers in 2016, you don’t point all the way back to 2008). But let’s assume they have some decent adoption in China today. 
As mentioned, there is no chicken-and-egg problem for Airbnb cross-border. They already have an international network of apartments and guests. And, most importantly, they already have many of the strengths I mentioned in Part 1: a network effect, economies of scale in operations and marketing, a full suite of features and services, an ability to bundle services, and an ability to subsidize across their MSP. 
I don’t think Chinese competitors can compete with them internationally in home-sharing. It is very difficult to launch an international two-sided network in general. But to do so against an entrenched incumbent is next to impossible. So I think Tujia and Xiaozhu on their own have very little chance against Airbnb outside of China. However, Ctrip is a serious competitor internationally. They are making moves in this area (i.e., their recent acquisition of UK-based Skyscanner). They also are the largest investor in Tujia. 
Ctrip should worry Airbnb. My next article on the US-China platform wars is about Ctrip vs. Expedia internationally.
Five more tips for Airbnb at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more strategic experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out his list.    

Thursday, April 13, 2017

What United can learn from McDonald's - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
United Airlines was the latest to discover the ire of the China consumers, and they were not the first. China consumers are changing the rules of the game many Western companies thought they knew how to play, says Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson on his weblog.

Jeffrey Towson:
I also made the point that the China consumer phenomenon works in both positive and negative directions. If you have a popular in-vitro fertilization center in Los Angeles or lavender farm in Tanzania, you can find yourself literally overwhelmed by Chinese tourists. Right now, there is a small town in the UK called Kidlington that has become over-run with Chinese tourists, for no reason that anyone can figure out. Chinese tour groups just decided they like stopping there to take pictures. Also recently, avocados are becoming popular in China for the first time. According to Produce Report, avocado imports to China jumped 375% between 2014 and 2015. And so on. 
These types of surprise China consumer stories happen virtually every week, in both positive and negative directions. When Chinese consumers change their mind about something in significant numbers it now ripples out into the world. As United Airlines has just discovered. 
The best approach is smart offense and fast defense. 
For multinationals and other companies, the reactions and changing preferences of Chinese consumers create a challenge. You can no longer wait for an issue to happen and then try to respond. You need to proactively engage with Chinese consumers all the time. The best approach I know of is “smart offense” and “fast defense”. And the best example I know of this is McDonalds. 
McDonalds in China (and Japan) has been hit by a couple of food scandals in recent years. This is an expected event given the rampant problems in the food supply system of China. If you are a famous restaurant in China, you are going to have a widely reported food quality issue at some point (whether real or fake). 
McDonalds does a very good job of smart offense in this situation, especially on social media. They pro-actively market themselves as safe food for Chinese consumers virtually every day. They widely publicize the quality of their ingredients on their webpage. And they are known for giving tours of their kitchens to show how clean they are. If you’ve ever been in a typical Chinese restaurant kitchen, you can see how effective that would be. That’s smart offense. 
And when an issue does happen (or is fabricated or charged), they play “fast defense”. Social media can whip accusations into a frenzy within hours. When McDonalds was the subject of a food quality expose (not the 2014 one), they responded on their Weibo account within 1 hour of the report. And they closed the outlet in question within 24 hours. That’s fast defense. And the speed of their response actually reinforced their reputation for caring about customers and food quality. Compare this to how United Airlines has responded this week.
More at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you interested in more stories by Jeffrey Towson? Do check out this list.    

Monday, April 03, 2017

Why Airbnb has a chance in China - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
China's markets are littered with failures by US firms, but Airbnb might actually have a chance, says Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson in the Guardian. Domestic competition is not strong, and Airbnb has opportunities in international travel by Chinese.

The Guardian:
The home-sharing market in China is still in its infancy, so, although Airbnb only has 80,000 listings there so far, its domestic competitors are not that far ahead. Xiaozhu, its most direct equivalent, has more than 100,000 listings, while Tujia, which is more of a holiday rental site and oversees the management of its properties, claims to have 450,000 listings. 
“It doesn’t strike me that anybody’s got this market yet. It looks like an open playing field,” says Jeffrey Towson, a professor of investment at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management. By comparison, he says, when Uber entered China, its domestic competitors, Didi and Kuaidi, were firmly established. After a costly battle, Uber was forced to bow out. 
Airbnb’s other advantage is its global platform. As more young Chinese travel abroad and stay in Airbnb properties, the more likely they are to use it when they go home. 
“[Airbnb] should try to dominate outbound Chinese tourism immediately,” Towson says, putting the number of these trips at around 110m a year. “Go after all of them. The Chinese competitors, are they going to start finding listings in Brazil? They can’t do that.”
More in the Guardian.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more strategy experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Check out this list.  

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Three China consumer predictions for 2017 - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Chinese consumers are becoming a force to be reckoned with. Often erratic, but massive because of their size, says business professor Jeffrey Towson on this first #ConsumerChina vlog. Three predictions on where to watch this force of the future on hyperadoption and mobile.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts on China's consumers? Do check out this list.  

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Saudi's search for China investments tough - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Saudi Arabia’s King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud met with Chinese President Xi Jinping seeking investments to move his country away from its oil addiction. But that might be tough, says Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson, and former employee of Prince Alwaleed in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia(KSA), on his weblog. He lists three reasons, and this is one.

Jeffrey Towson:
So why aren’t such deals happening? I argue it is mostly not because of any of the commonly cited reasons, such as language barriers (both Saudis and Chinese speak English), inconvenient flights or visas, security issues (such as Yemen), or a lack of opportunities. 
My experience has been that it is a lack of trust and necessity. Private deals are face-to-face, relationship-based and long-term. And Chinese and Saudi business people just don’t trust each other very much. There is no history of working together. There are few close friendships. There is no history of going to university together. And the deals thus far have been prone to problems. There just isn’t a lot of trust or comfort. And when you are operating in environments without clear rule of law and easily enforceable contracts(such as in both China and Saudi), you rely on close relationships far more. 
The other problem is necessity .There actually is no need to do private China-KSA deals. Chinese companies can make investments in lots of places. And Saudis can continue to work with Western companies, just like they have for decades. China-Africa have the same trust issues but the deals happen because there is a real need for resources. China-Germany deals happen because there is a need for technology (by China) and market access (for Germany). But there is no such need for KSA and China. And absent a compelling need, the lack of trust is not overcome. 
So the Chinese and Saudi groups meet, drink tea, take photos and express interest in working together. Maybe they even sign an MOU. But then, outside of basic trade, not much happens. Ultimately, nobody writes big checks or makes long-term commitments. So we have not and I do not think we are going to see hundreds of private deals between Saudi and Chinese private companies in the near future.
Much more at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts at China's outbound investments at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

Friday, March 24, 2017

China's emerging LGBT consumers - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Disney's movie Beauty and the Beast has not been released in Malaysia for a overtly gay scene. In China it was not problem, triggering off much attention also from state-owned media. Other countries have already discovered the LGBT community as an attractive group of consumers, and Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson discusses at his weblog this emerging community in China.

Jeffrey Towson:
China has a huge gay and lesbian population and a growing LGBT (ie., pink) economy. Both of which have been emerging in the recent years. Estimates put China’s LGBT population at likely 40-100M. Not only is this the largest LGBT population in the world, it is actually larger than the entire population of Malaysia (approx 31M). 
China is the world’s most populous nation so it stands to reason it has, or will have, the largest gay, lesbian and transgender population. Definitely larger than the population of Malaysia and probably larger than the populations of the UK and Germany. And in the last 2-3 years, this population has been increasingly visible. For example, in May 2016, China’s second annual LGBT job fair was held. It attracted 34 companies and over 500 job seekers. 
Companies participating included Morgan Stanley, Starbucks, Citi, 3M and Didi Chuxing. Also in 2016, Taobao and Blued, the largest Chinese gay dating app, held an online content to choose 6 same-sex couples to fly to West Hollywood to get married. Over 2,000 couples sent in videos for the contest. 
There is also increasing discussion about the emergence of China’s “pink economy”. One area within this that is getting significant attention is tourism. This demographic typically spends more time and money than heterosexual groups on lesiure (tourism, entertainment) and personal image building (gym, beauty, physical therapy). 
Another current area of interest in China’s LGBT economy is dating apps. Market leader Blued now has over 15M members in China alone, making it the largest gay dating service in the world. And it was only founded in 2012. And while Grindr is probably the world’s most famous gay dating app, this is actually also Chinese, having been purchased by Beijing Kunlun for $93M. Note: Grindr has 10M registered users compared to Blued’s 15M.
More of Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts on cultural change at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.    

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

How hype and greed destroy the bike-renting business - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
As long as funds are flooding the bike-renting business, the dance will go on. But, warns Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson at his website, when the music stops, the dancing will be over. Consumers might be the winners, as long as the music plays.

Jeffrey Towson:
Across the board, what we are seeing is non-economic behavior and a race for scale that is fueled by hype and enabled by easy access to money. This is warping and distorting what is an ultimately very nice and popular consumer bicycle rental service. But the ‘music is playing’ and all the companies ‘have to dance’ – or leave the market. This is likely to end badly for everyone, except for the consumers and bike thieves. 
The biggest part of this problem is the drive for scale. The leading companies are all trying to get big and capture market share, with Mobike reportedly having over 70 percent of the China market, measured both by the number of bikes and number of rides taken. 
However, the problem with this is there doesn’t appear to be any big advantages to scale. It doesn’t create a superior service like in taxi ride-sharing (more drivers means shorter waiting times). It doesn’t get a network effect. It doesn’t create a much lower cost structure per unit. And it ultimately doesn’t stop any small company from spending RMB 200,000 and deploying 1,000 bikes in a particular neighborhood. 
The business model followed by so many bicycle-sharing companies just doesn’t appear (yet) to have any competitive advantage. The market may well consolidate, but there is no reason yet to think the business itself will generate any type of exceptional profitability. The race for scale looks more like a race for a big sale or IPO.
More at Jeffrey Towson's website.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts to deal with your China risk at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.    

Friday, March 10, 2017

How Alibaba Pictures gets an advantage with big data - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Alibaba is pushing into the entertainment industry. The internet giant has one huge advantage, traditional filmmakers can only dream of, says business professor Jeffrey Towson in the Nikkei Asia Review. "Alibaba is attempting to create a new type of smart production that replaces "big bets" with "big data"."

Jeffrey Towson:
Alibaba Pictures' cinemas naturally show a mix of the company's own films and ones from other domestic and foreign studios. Cofinancing and equity partnerships can play a role in this, as seen in the company's investment in Paramount Pictures' last "Mission Impossible" movie. Such partnerships are important because getting to international levels of quality has proved to be more difficult for Chinese studios than expected. 
Yet Alibaba Pictures is also making unconventional moves in distribution. With its Tao Piaopiao movie ticketing app, the company is subsidizing pre-release purchases. This gives it a two-week advance window to gauge interest in specific films and insight into what Chinese consumers actually want to see. The ticketing app in turn is linked to Alibaba Pictures' theater operations software, which is in use at some 70% of local cinemas for ticket sales, screen booking and other functions, further expanding the company's data gathering. 
Add to this distribution channels controlled by Alibaba Group, such as the Youku Tudou video streaming sites, the growing Alibaba Cloud computing service and UCWeb, a popular internet browser for mobile phones. In this way, Alibaba can see what hundreds of millions of Chinese consumers are buying and watching in real time. Compare that to to a typical film studio, which spends 1-2 years making a movie based mostly on a gut feeling and then hopes it will do well if there is a large marketing budget behind it. Alibaba is attempting to create a new type of smart production that replaces "big bets" with "big data".
Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts on innovation? Do check out this list

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

A business model can help a successful app Meitu - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Meitu, with 450 million users a leader in China's selfie apps and a growing following overseas, helps to beautify those selfies. But having a good idea is not enough, says Peking business professor Jeffrey Towson to AFP. Having a business model helps even more.

AFP:
Chinese Internet giants like Tencent and Alibaba have struggled to replicate their domestic dominance overseas. 
But Meitu said it had 430 million overseas users as of October last year, compared to around 500 million claimed by Instagram. 
Yet profits remain elusive. Meitu lost CNY 2.2 billion ($320 million) in the first half of last year. 
"Meitu's big problem has always been that it came up with this killer app - and the usage is unbelievable. It's crazy. But they never had a clear business model underneath it," said Jeffrey Towson, professor of investment at Peking University. 
Meitu did not respond to requests for comment.
More at AFP.

Jeffrey Towson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more experts on innovation at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

How bike-sharing differs from ride-sharing - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
After the wars, and eventual merger, of the car-sharing companies, attention has turned to the bike-sharing firms. But bike-sharing is fundamentally different, warns Peking University business professor Jeffrey Towson in E27, and history will not repeat itself. Bike-sharing is not part of the sharing economy, he explains.

E27:
Both companies have their apps, but Ofo lowers friction by linking the app to WeChat without having to download a separate app. The users can either register their mobile phone or log in via WeChat account and unlock bikes on the streets at their convenience. 
While many business analysts predict how the two rivals will merge eventually, Jeffrey Towson, consultant and professor at Guanghua Peking University, thinks otherwise. He explains why bike-sharing is nothing like ride-sharing of Didi and Uber. The professor compares the bike-sharing economy to a vending machine business than a ride-sharing one. 
“Unlike ride-sharing, bike-sharing does not have a network effect,” he says. “The ride-sharing experience is a two-sided network, in which additional riders increases the networks’ value to the drivers and each new driver increases to value each rider. Through customer rating and recording of wait-time, the service gradually improves as its user population grows.” 
“The problem with bike-sharing, however, is that there is no second population of drivers using the platforms and providing the bikes,” he adds. “The bikes are constantly replenished by companies themselves as opposed to each rider adding any value to the other riders. It seems that bike-sharing isn’t really part of the sharing economy.”
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