Showing posts with label Uber. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Uber. Show all posts

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Didi: still a lot of trouble with the authorities - Ben Cavender

Ben Cavender
Ride-hailing company Didi Chuxing, the main competitor of Uber, is trying to move upscale, into self-driving cars, foreign cooperation and projects out of China, but at home, they still face basic challenges, says Shanghai-based business analyst Ben Cavender. Local authorities focus on illegal drivers, according to Reuters.

Reuters:
The ministry (of Transport) said that there are still a large number of illegal cars and it will urge local authorities to target unqualified drivers, which could exacerbate the shortages. 
“Didi’s service times have been drastically affected over the last few months following removal of drivers from the platform who did not have local registration in the cities that they were driving in,” said Ben Cavender, Shanghai-based principal at China Market Research Group. 
“The majority of consumers that we speak to who use ride sharing platforms used Didi first but are increasingly looking at other options.”
More at Reuters.

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Thursday, August 03, 2017

China is a source of business models, not an easy market - William Bao Bean

William Bao Bean
China is, as the second largest economy, becoming an attractive source of new business ideas, says Shanghai-based VC William Bao Bean. Although the China market itself is a hard one to crack, for startups and larger companies, he tells in WebinTravel.

WebinTravel:
William Bao Bean, who runs SOSV Accelarator which runs China Accelerator and MOX Accelerator, said that Facebook is copying WeChat and the question is, who can crack the global market first? “Chinese companies have gone to the US and failed, WeChat tried – spent US$120,000 a day on marketing,” he said. 
Chinese companies are now turning to Southeast Asia which he said “is turning into a Chinese colony. Leaders by sectors are being taken out by the Chinese. If you’re building a business, say a family-owned bank, you have to ask what’s the future because Alibaba and Tencent are coming. Riches to rags in three generations?” 
“In China, the big got bigger and the small got crushed"... 
As for startups who want to enter China, Bao Bean said, “99% of you should not go to China. Look at all the big boys – how many of them have been successful? Uber spent $2b, Didi shut them down. Uber was a company that broke the rules and that works in China but still …” 
His thinking is you need an unfair advantage to compete. “We focus on fintech, AI, machine learning and education.”
More in WebinTravel.

William Bao Bean is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

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Thursday, June 08, 2017

Why is Didi raising so much capital? - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Since last year car-hailing giant Didi Chuxing has been raising over US$15 billion, even after it won the costly competitive struggle with Uber. Beida business professor Jeffrey Towson sees at his weblog four reasons why Didi continues to raise so much capital. Here are two of them.

 Jeffrey Towson:
Explanation 3: Going international. 
Another natural use of the newly raised funds would be to expand abroad given that Chinese app users are already going abroad in great numbers. Didi led a $100 million fundraising round for Brazilian ride-sharing app 99 in January and earlier invested in India’s Ola, Southeast Asia’s Grab and American app Lyft as part of an alliance of the four companies to take on Uber globally. In March, Didi opened an R&D center in Silicon Valley. I would not be surprised to see another string of international investments over the next twelve months, especially in Southeast Asia. 
Explanation 4: There is a big disruption coming. 
In theory, self-driving cars (i.e., autonomous driving) could reduce costs dramatically for Didi. Some reports suggest that driver fees, insurance and driver acquisition costs add up to two-thirds of the company’s operating expenses. 
However, the cost-saving argument misses the bigger implication of self-driving cars. If the technology is successful, it could wipe out the business model and competitive advantage of most ride-sharing services and could be a body blow to Didi’s current business. 
The reason this sector has consolidated down to just one or two dominant companies per region is because of the powerful economics of two-sided platforms. To get drivers, you need riders. To get riders, you need lots of drivers. Being bigger in a region not only creates a superior service — since more drivers means shorter wait times for pick up — it also creates an insurmountable barrier for new entrants. 
Self-driving cars will disrupt this competitive strength. If you no longer need drivers, you no longer have a two-sided network. Didi and Uber will then be exposed to new entrants with good cars, clever technology and different operating systems. Self-driving cars could make driver-rider networks obsolete or marginal at best. 
So Didi and Uber have a strategic imperative to transition to this new technology and search for a new source of competitive advantage. This could be by becoming the transportation ecosystem in which self-driving cars operate. It could be by becoming the operating system, the “Microsoft of moving computers.” It could be by integrating with public transportation services. Possibly though there may just not be an opportunity to be so dominant in this emerging market. 
Google, Apple, Uber and lots of major Chinese companies are rushing into self-driving cars (article here). One to keep an eye on in China is Baidu. It is developing an open-source autonomous driving platform involving hardware, software and cloud data services. This could enable lots more automotive and autonomous driving companies to enter the business. Code-named Apollo, Baidu’s project will provide capabilities in obstacle perception, trajectory planning, vehicle control and vehicle operating systems. Note that Baidu first successfully road tested its self-driving cars on the highways of Beijing back in December 2015.
More reasons at Jeffrey Towson's weblog.

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Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Now Didi comes after Uber globally - William Bao Bean

William Bao Bean
China's ride hailing app Didi Chuxing just raised over US$5 billion, more than it would need for its China operation. After kicking Uber out of China, Didi might be preparing to go after the US company on a global scale, suggests managing director of the Chinaccelerator William Bao Bean to Bloomberg.

Bloomberg:
Didi's record funding round is said to value the company at more than US$50b and gives it a war chest to ramp up efforts to harness artificial intelligence, build driverless cars, and compete more aggressively in foreign markets. 
The cash infusion coincides with a rough period for Uber, which is facing lawsuits and an image problem, and follows a detente in China after Uber agreed to essentially cede the market to Didi in exchange for a significant stake. 
"The bruising battle with Uber taught [Didi] a lot," said William Bao Bean, a Shanghai-based partner at venture capital fund SOSV. "Now it's battle-hardened, and can buy the best talent in the world to attempt to go big in China, and also go global."... 
Didi has expanded outside its home turf mostly by making investments or forming partnerships with ride-hailing companies such as Grab in Singapore, Ola in India and Lyft in the US. 
For Uber, which is present on every populated continent, India represents its largest overseas market and a pivotal battleground. 
As Didi develops its autonomous driving technology, it could have the capacity to knit together a far-flung global network of allies, focused on developing markets in Asia and the Middle East, Bao Bean said.
More in Bloomberg.

William Bao Bean is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

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Tuesday, October 04, 2016

Why did Expedia and Morgan Stanley fail in China - Jeffrey Towson

Jeffrey Towson
Jeffrey Towson
Failing foreign companies are all too common in China. Peking University business professor Jeffrey Towson dives into two specific cases, trying to learn from the mistakes by Expedia and Morgan Stanley, at his LinkedIn page.

Jeffrey Towson:
It all looked pretty good. So why in 2015 did they sell their entire eLong stake for $671M? Why after almost ten years of work did they exit China? What happened? 
My assessment is that they got tired of losing money. eLong was frequently losing money and impacting Expedia's overall returns. In the most recent quarters before Expedia's exit, eLong was still occasionally losing around $20M per quarter. 
This is an example of the situation I call "last man standing". Competitors ramp up spending on capacity or price subsidies and everyone loses money. The market then becomes a contest of who is willing and able to lose the most cash. In the end, whoever is "left standing" gets the market. Uber and Didi recently had this situation. It can be a particularly effective strategy against foreign companies. 
So even though Expedia won big in China, becoming one of the three major players. They were still losing cash after ten years of work. And they eventually cut their losses. They sold their stake in eLong, much of which was then quickly purchased by ctrip. 
Morgan Stanley and CICC: A case of "what have you done for me lately?" 
CICC (China International Capital Corp) was launched in 1995 as a joint venture between Morgan Stanley and China Construction Bank (i.e., People's Construction Bank of China). For Morgan Stanley, this was their single largest investment in an emerging market to date ($35M for 34.3% ownership). And it was their primary strategy for becoming a player in China's domestic capital market. 
And the enterprise was very successful. CICC has gone from the 40 employees at launch to over 4,200 employees today. Revenues in 2015 were over 8B RMB. 
However, Morgan Stanley sold its stake in CICC in 2011 - and had been trying to sell as early as 2008. There are various reasons for this, including the financial crisis and dealing with limits on how many banks / JVs a foreign company can have in this sector. But underneath this was also the fact that CICC was no longer an operational vehicle for Morgan Stanley in China. It had become a passive investment. 
So what happened? 
My standard question for any company in China is "what is your advantage or value-add?". Good answers to this can be technology, foreign customers, a well-known brand, and cross-border operations. But my follow-up question is always "and how long will this advantage or value add last?". This is the question that often catches companies.
More at Jeffrey Towson´s LinkedIn page.

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Friday, August 12, 2016

How subsidy wars killed brand loyalty - William Bao Bean

William Bao Bean
William Bao Bean
When the ride-hailing wars between Uber and Didi has confirmed one feeling among Chinese consumers, it is that loyalty to brands does not pay off, says Shanghai-based VC William Bao Bean to Bloomberg. Brand loyalty was already low, but the latest Uber-Didi wars have made things worse.
Bloomberg:
Startups backed by Baidu Inc., Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Tencent Holdings Ltd. once offered plentiful and steep discounts on everything from on-demand massages to personal trainers in a massive land grab. But as consolidation revs up -- seen most recently in Didi Chuxing’s acquisition of Uber Technologies Inc.’s Chinese operations -- this peculiar golden era for smartphone-wielding consumers is waning. Didi’s deal wasn’t the first merger intended to end internecine subsidy wars, and it won’t be the last -- and that means fewer doorbusters for Li and millions of her cohorts. 
The subsidy “wars have just been brutal. Well, great for the consumer, but brutal in terms of burning cash,” says William Bao Bean, an investment partner at SOSV. “And they’ve trained Chinese consumers to not be loyal, but instead to go anywhere to seek out bargains. Consumer loyalty means nothing in China.”
More in Bloomberg.

William Bao Bean is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

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Thursday, August 04, 2016

Uber did things right in China, but still lost - Kaiser Kuo

Kaiser Kuo
Kaiser Kuo
Uber learned much from the failures of other American internet companies who tried to enter the China market, but still failed. China veteran Kaiser Kuo looks in ChinaFile at the competitive market in China, making it almost impossible for foreign internet companies to gain substantial market share.

Kaiser Kuo:
Uber didn’t just bumble into the China market without a good map of the pitfalls that doomed so many other U.S.-based Internet companies trying to make it in China. In fact, they studied the failures of their predecessors carefully, and avoided many of their missteps. They created a highly autonomous China entity and gave their people on the ground extensive decision-making power, allowing them to take the gloves off where needed—not that Uber as a company has ever shied from doing so. They partnered with, and received investment from, China’s largest search engine (Baidu), and leveraged not only Baidu’s market position (by integrating Uber directly into Baidu Maps) but also its deep experience with government relations. Uber committed huge amounts of capital, and paid out billions in subsidies to win market share. They offered services tailored to the Chinese market. 
And all things considered, they didn’t do at all badly: They rolled out aggressively into many Chinese cities, and for a while even enjoyed a market share lead in some of those cities, like Chengdu and Xiamen. 
That despite all this Uber ultimately surrendered to Didi Chuxing shows just how tough local competition has become, and should give would-be entrants even greater pause. I doubt that within my lifetime I’ll see a major U.S.-based Internet company win a market share lead over domestic Chinese competitors. (Conversely, I doubt even more strongly that I’ll see a Chinese Internet company make significant inroads into any major Western market). 
The China Internet market will prove elusive to American Internet players even when censorship and other Chinese government policies aren’t significant factors—and just to be clear, they weren’t real factors in Uber’s case: some municipal governments may have played favorites, but Beijing mostly kept out of the ride share war that’s raged on for the last few years. This was a fair fight—or more precisely, both parties were free to fight dirty. 
But it was an uphill fight for Uber from the beginning. A manager is, after all, always at a natural disadvantage when competing with an entrepreneur; the entrepreneur always has more skin in the game. And when that entrepreneur is focused on a single market, has nearly inexhaustible resources, can draw on the strength of China’s two largest Internet companies (Tencent and Alibaba both, since Didi’s absorption of Kuaidi in February 2015), and is determined to destroy its competition by any means, you know who to bet on. 
Uber got good terms of surrender, though. The devotion of that much time, attention and capital by Uber’s senior management toward a market destined to bleed money for the foreseeable future just didn’t make sense. Now Uber ends up with 20 percent of the merged entity, and that’s nothing to sneeze at.
More opinions in ChinaFile.

Kaiser Kuo  is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

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Wednesday, August 03, 2016

How China is changing the world - Any Mok

Andy Mok
Andy Mok
The world has been eagerly hoping to see how China would adjust to the Western world. What they did not realize, says Andy Mok, managing director at Red Pagoda Resources in Beijing in Newsmax. What the world did not see was how much China started to change the world.

Newsmax:
The rise of Chinese tech powerhouses isn’t exactly new, even if it’s recent headlines – the pounding of Uber, the faltering of Apple – that have caught readers’ attention overseas. “What a lot of western policy makers and institutional investors have not recognized … they’ve been focused on how the outside world is going to change China. What many people have missed is actually how China is going to change the world,” says Andy Mok, managing director at Red Pagoda Resources in Beijing. He cited how Chinese audiences are now influencing Hollywood casting decisions. “The more and more the Chinese middle class becomes a driving force globally of product decisions, that’s becoming more apparent.”
More in Newsmax.

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Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Uber did not lose in China, it was a draw - William Bao Bean

Facebook´s China competitors make real money – William Bao Bean
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American internet companies have lost in the competitive China market one after another: Google, Facebook, Ebay, Twitter, YouTube. Compared to them Uber did an amazing job, says innovation expert William Bao Bean to LA Times. "It was a draw."

LA Times:
It took years for Google to realize that many Chinese couldn’t pronounce its name. The company ultimately had to rebrand itself GuGe in China. Even then, many people still chose to call it GoGo. Given the abject failures of most U.S. tech companies in China, Uber’s deal with Didi doesn’t look bad to some observers. Uber, after all, isn’t leaving China, and it still has a sizable stake in the growing ride-hailing space — not that the bar was particularly high. Microsoft, for instance, isn’t giving-up on China even though an estimated 95% of its copies of Microsoft Office in the country were pirated at one point. 
“They’re the first international Internet company that didn’t lose,” William Bao Bean, a Shanghai-based partner at SOS Ventures and the managing director of Chinaccelerator, said of Uber. “They fought to a draw. And for an American Internet company, that’s as good as a win.”
More in LA Times.

William Bao Bean is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

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Has Facebook become a WeChat clone? A discussion with William Bao Bean.

Uber is not down after the China deal - Andy Mok

Andy Mok
Andy Mok
Uber threw in the towel at the killing ride-hailing wars in China, but that does not mean Uber is out, especially on a global level, says Andy Mok, managing Director at Red Pagoda Resources, especially on a global level, he tells Bloomberg. "They want to be the Cisco of the physical world."

Bloomberg:
By shedding its losses in China, the move may clear Uber’s path to an eventual initial public offering. And as part of its deal, Kalanick joins Didi’s board -- literally gaining a seat at the table as the effort to dominate the world’s largest ride-sharing arena unfolds. 
So never count Uber out, at least on a global level, said Andy Mok, Managing Director at Red Pagoda Resources in Beijing. 
“They want to be a Cisco of the physical world, the network that routes physical people and objects,” said Mok. “In a way, this frees up space for more technology development.”
More in Bloomberg.

Andy Mok is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

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Monday, April 18, 2016

Why Uber is going to win in China - Andy Mok

Andy Mok
Andy Mok
The bloody competition of taxi-hailing apps can be won by Uber, argues business analyst Andy Mok on this page in LinkedIn. While many foreign tech firms have lost their struggle to enter the China market, Andy Mok sees five reasons why Uber might actually win this war. Here is two of them.

Andy Mok:
1.hailing is not a winner take all business 
For companies commanding a certain level of resources, there are few obvious barriers to entry and the business is essentially a city-level local one. As such, each market of a certain size (e.g. 北上广深, etc.) should be able to support at least a handful of competitors - the end state is not a monopoly but most likely an oligopoly. Also, because capital requirements for market entry in any particular city is very low, even “small” cites in China can be economically viable markets for ride hailing businesses. 
Next, switching costs are low to non-existent. Unlike Facebook or even Twitter, the ride hailing business has no network effects. In fact, adding more users actually degrades system performance so there is a sort of negative network effect at work. It’s also worth noting that because of low switching costs current market share is not that valuable an indicator of future or continued dominance. Aggressive pricing or new product features can result in rapid shifts in market share. 
Given this, on its own and barring oligopolistic price fixing or (unlikely) government intervention, the ride hailing business would be a marginally profitable business at best.Uber is also in the business of overcoming entrenched political and special interests 
2.Uber has been masterful at mobilizing public opinion and aiming it at entrenched political interests, especially local ones, and this has now become an indispensable part of its toolkit. The hiring of David Plouffe, former Obama senior political operative, and Bradley Tusk, former Michael Bloomberg campaign manager, not only legitimizes Uber’s ability in this area but also underscores its strategic importance. 
What remains to be seen is how transferable these skills are to China.
More arguments at Andy´s page at LinkedIn.

Andy Mok is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

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Friday, April 15, 2016

The Uber, Kuaidi fight might last much longer - Andy Mok

Andy Mok
The taxi-hailing service Uber is fighting a multi-billion dollar fight with competitor Kuaidi Chuxing.  And despite the huge losses, it does not look like Uber is going to throw in the towel, says business analyst Andy Mok to ABC News.

ABC News:
In Australia and other many cities around the world, Uber's biggest challenge has been regulators and the traditional taxi industry. But in China, the $80 billion tech giant is an underdog in a two horse fight for control of the rapidly growing market. 
ANDY MOK: The competition between Uber and Didi Chuxing is actually throughout the entire country of China, and it's incredibly ferocious. Both of these companies are throwing literally billions of US dollars into winning the market and hoping to knock the other one out. 
BILL BIRTLES: Beijing-based start-up consultant Andy Mok has watched the battle between the two companies unfold. He wasn't surprised when Uber recently announced it had spent more than a billion dollars in China in just the last year. 
ANDY MOK: So they're spending that money on offering subsidies, so for example if a cab ride normally cost $5 say, they would say to the customer, to the consumer, well we'll only charge you $2. And therefore subsidise the other $3 of that cab ride. But they'll still pay the cab driver $5 in fact, may even pay more than $5 to encourage more drivers to join their platform. So that's where all the money is being spent... 
ANDY MOK: In theory at least, this could go on for quite a long time because the amount of capital available globally is enormous.
More in ABC News.

Andy Mok is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

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Dealing with Chinese companies is sometimes an art in itself. Innovation expert William Bao Bean explains how the successful internet giant Tencent, partly owning Didi Chuxing, is organized.

Friday, June 26, 2015

New US internet companies succeed by complying with the government - Ben Cavender

Ben Cavender
Ben Cavender
China has seen a wave of new internet companies, actually succeeding. A surprise after Google, Facebook, Twitter saw them locked out. Business analyst Ben Cavender tells in Quartz what the trick is: complying with the Chinese government. Names? Evernote. LinkedIn. Uber.

Quartz:
After Google’s exit, those three firms have yet to come back. But in recent years, other American internet companies have found a degree of success in China—or at least a bit more stability than their predecessors. 
The solution involves sacrifice—hand over data and control, and the Chinese government will hand you the keys to the market. 
“If you want to develop an internet business in Chinese now, you have to be willing to work with the Chinese government, even if that means censoring content or sharing access to your data,” Ben Cavender, principal at the China Market Research Group, told Quartz... 
By now, some may say that question sounds downright passé. Google and Facebook, the posterboys for internet companies shut out of China, are now knocking on its door. 
Facebook has reportedly opened an office in Beijingand aspires to develop a consumer-facing product. Mark Zuckerberg’s China infatuation seems carefully staged. Google, meanwhile, is rumored to be working on an app store for China, as a way to reach consumers without relying on its search engine. 
“Google decided to take a stand, and they effectively locked themselves out of the market,” Cavender said. Businesses must ask, “How important is China to our growth and what is our long-term perspective on what to do there?” he adds.
More in Quartz.

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