Showing posts with label financial markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial markets. Show all posts

Friday, September 13, 2019

Hong Kong loses its clout as a financial market - Jim Rogers

Jim Rogers
Hong Kong's days as a financial market are not yet numbered, but in the long run, the city has tough problems, says celebrity investor Jim Rogers to RT. Rogers is Singapore-based, an island that hopes to benefit from the downturn of Hong Kong as a recession is looming.

RT:
The deteriorating situation has been forcing investors to look for ways to move their money to a more stable place. Capital outflows happen not “because there is any immediate danger, but it indicates in the future that there will be less and less security in Hong Kong,” finance guru Jim Rogers said in an interview to RT. 
According to Rogers, Singapore is one of the main beneficiaries of that capital outflow. It can be explained not only by the fact that it is easier and more convenient to deal with Singapore, as locals speak Chinese, but also by the security issues since countries like Austria or Lichtenstein are not as secure as they used to be, the investor points out. 
“This is already making Hong Kong less of a major financial center because it’s unlikely that people will take their money to Hong Kong now,” the analyst said. “So even if nobody takes their money out of Hong Kong, but people are taking it out, other people will not take their money to Hong Kong.”
Hong Kong is losing its status as a major financial center as investors seek a ‘safe haven’ for their assets in places like Singapore amid rising tensions in the city, legendary investor Jim Rogers told RT.
Weeks of unrest have already taken a toll on tourism, stock and property markets, as well as the entire financial sector. Even before the recent shutdown of the airport by protesters, between July 14 and August 9, bookings to Hong Kong from Asian countries fell by more than 33 percent compared to same period last year. 
The ongoing trade war between Washington and Beijing in addition to the protests affected the economic situation in the autonomous region, bringing the quarterly contraction in GDP to 0.4 percent in the three months to June. If the trend continues and losses extend in the third quarter, the city would technically fall into recession for the first time in decades. 
The deteriorating situation has been forcing investors to look for ways to move their money to a more stable place. Capital outflows happen not “because there is any immediate danger, but it indicates in the future that there will be less and less security in Hong Kong,” finance guru Jim Rogers said in an interview to RT. 
According to Rogers, Singapore is one of the main beneficiaries of that capital outflow. It can be explained not only by the fact that it is easier and more convenient to deal with Singapore, as locals speak Chinese, but also by the security issues since countries like Austria or Lichtenstein are not as secure as they used to be, the investor points out. 
“This is already making Hong Kong less of a major financial center because it’s unlikely that people will take their money to Hong Kong now,” the analyst said. “So even if nobody takes their money out of Hong Kong, but people are taking it out, other people will not take their money to Hong Kong.”
I expect the Hong Kong dollar to break free of the US dollar once the renminbi [Chinese yuan] is convertible. The Hong Kong dollar will disappear… but that will not happen until the renminbi is completely convertible,” said Rogers.  
Another indicator of the capital outflow is the Hong Kong dollar, which is pegged to its US equivalent and has weakened within the pegged exchange rate over the last month, Rogers believes. He predicts that the local currency will further weaken, untie from the greenback, and eventually disappear.
More in RT.

Jim Rogers is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form. 

Are you looking for more strategic experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.    

Thursday, May 31, 2018

How China's stock markets are different - Ann Rutledge

Ann Rutledge
China's is officially heading for more reforms of its financial markets. But their stock markets are still a very different creature compared to the stock markets elsewhere, says financial analyst Ann Rutledge in Knowledge@Wharton.

Knowledge@Wharton:
Indeed, China’s “top-down approach to market building” stands in contrast to the private sector’s way, where companies use assets and resources within their control guided by institutional market knowledge, says Ann Rutledge, adjunct associate professor at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. 
The key for foreign firms is to understand the raison d’etre of China’s securitization market, Rutledge says. It’s not about creating a market for its own sake but hitting another milestone towards modernization in service of its national goals. “Money is good but the needs of the people and the state come first.” 
Not to be overlooked is China’s desire to control its currency and one reason for its inward focus, Rutledge says. But its quest to internationalize the renminbi — where the currency is widely held by investors outside of China for use in payments, settlements, investments and reserves — has slowed down sharply since 2014 due to changes in economic conditions, BNP’s Lo says. It was once a high policy priority in facilitating China’s financial liberalization.
More at Knowledge@Wharton.

Ann Rutledge is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need her at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

Are you looking for more financial analysts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.  

Monday, February 15, 2016

Central bank moves in to ease turmoil - Victor Shih

Victor Shih
Victor Shih
The governor of China´s central bank, the People´s Bank of China, Zhou Xiaochuan tried to ease the expected turmoil on the financial markets ahead of their opening after Lunar New Year. Zhou tries to save the few reforms he was able to achieve, says financial expert Victor Shih to Bloomberg.

Bloomberg:
Zhou dismissed speculation that China plans to tighten capital controls and said there’s no need to worry about a short-term decline in foreign-exchange reserves. The country has ample holdings for payments and to defend stability, he said. 
"He’s desperately trying to make sure that all of his work in the past few years on capital liberalization does not go to waste," said Victor Shih, a professor at the University of California at San Diego who studies China’s politics and finance. "He’s trying hard to instill investor confidence in the renminbi so that the Chinese government does not have to resort to the extreme measure of unwinding all of the progress on offshore renminbi in the past few years."
More in Bloomberg.

Victor Shih is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´request form.

Are you looking for more financial experts at the China Speakers Bureau? Do check out this list.