Showing posts with label wages. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wages. Show all posts

Friday, February 06, 2015

Labor conditions improve fast - Sara Hsu

Sara Hsu
+Sara Hsu 
China´s labor conditions were notoriously bad, but the shift to higher-skilled, younger laborers, and better legislation has changed the country profoundly, writes urbanization expert Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. Although, there is still room for more improvement.

Sara Hsu:
Workers appear to be more and more amenable to protesting poor conditions. Manfred Elfstrom and Sarosh Kuruvilla (2014) show that strikes have risen since 2008, and become increasingly offensive strikes in favor of better wages and working conditions, rather than defensive strikes against employer actions such as layoffs. This is in part a result of the Labor Contract Law of 2008, which extended protection of employees of at least ten years standing, prompting companies to improve capital-labor relations to some degree. Wages have risen since 2008, with wages highest in Beijing, Shanghai and Tianjun at around $2.60 per hour. 
Labor supply and labor demand have also changed, altering the structure of the labor market. Intermittent labor shortages for labor-intensive jobs on the east coast have induced firms to move inland to access cheaper rural labor, and have tightened labor markets in labor-intensive manufacturing across the country. The working age population is also continuing to decline, which further reduces the low-skilled labor supply. At the same time, there is an oversupply of educated workers as increasing numbers of high school graduates go on to obtain university degrees, and shortages of vocationally skilled workers in middle-wage service sectors such as education. In response, the government is attempting to promote vocational schools, and has set a target of having 38.3 million students enrolled in vocational schools by 2020, an increase of about 9 million over the current enrollment levels. By contrast, the 2020 target for enrollment in higher education, such as four-year colleges, is 36 million. 
University graduates, who often become white collar workers, have graduated to a new set of working conditions: underemployment, crowded living conditions, and low pay. The term “ant tribe” was coined several years ago to describe the many graduates who could not find suitable jobs and were forced to live with several roommates and work in subpar jobs at low wages. The types of jobs that are increasingly available are service sector jobs that cater to the domestic population. Many of these jobs are low-level positions that do not pay well. More investment and regulatory changes will be needed to reform medium and high-skilled services sectors such as finance and communications to generate jobs. Serious service-sector growth hinges on the success of more sophisticated skill and technology-intensive service industries. Currently, competition for well-paying, higher-skilled jobs is high. Increasing investment and competition would initiate reform in these sectors similar to reform measures imposed on the manufacturing sector in the nineties. In this way, both four-year college graduates and vocational school graduates would be able to obtain better paying jobs. Once this is accomplished, the modern Chinese employee may truly have less to protest.
More in the Diplomat.

Sara Hsu is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need her at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´ request form.

Are you interested in more stories by Sara Hsu? Do check out this regularly updated list.  

Friday, January 09, 2015

Labor costs put pressure on productivity of workers - Shaun Rein

Shaun Rein
Shaun Rein
Wages have been rising fast in China, and companies are struggling to improve productivity of their workers to remain competitive. There is still much to win, says business analyst Shaun Rein, author of The End of Copycat China: The Rise of Creativity, Innovation, and Individualism in Asia in Business Week.

Business Week:
 (Hong Kong´s) TAL is one of several companies trying to squeeze more productivity from its Chinese workforce. The effort by factory operators in industries such as apparel, toys, and electronics is largely a response to rising labor costs. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, urban manufacturing wages rose 73 percent from 2009 to 2013, the latest year for which data is available. “You can’t waste labor, because wages are too high now,” says Shaun Rein, managing director of Shanghai-based China Market Research and author of The End of Copycat China. “The typical Chinese worker is about a quarter as efficient as a German or an American factory worker,” he says. For companies looking to boost productivity, Rein says, “there’s a lot of low-hanging fruit,” such as investing in worker training and automation.
 More in Business Week.

Shaun Rein is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers´ request form.

Are you looking for more stories by Shaun Rein? Check out this regularly updated list.

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Indonesia benefits as wages rise in China - Shaun Rein

Shaun Rein
Cheap production is shifting to countries like Cambodja and Indonesia, as the Chinese government targets a firm rise of the country's wages, to improve domestic consumption, notes business analyst Shaun Rein in CNBC, returning from a trip to Indonesia.

Shaun Rein:
The government has been actively trying to end the nation’s cheap labor force era by increasing wages and social security benefits and accelerate a consumption and services oriented economy rather than preserve low wages. 
Twenty one of China’s 31 provinces this year have increased the minimum wage by an average 21.7 percent. The government has also set a nation-wide target to increase salaries by 13 percent annually. 
These hikes are on top of minimum wage boosts in provinces like Sichuan that raised minimum wages by 44 percent in 2010. Cities like Shanghai have also been increasing social security benefits for native residents and migrant workers so that tens of millions get better access to medical care. The new regulations add about 30 percent to compensation costs per migrant worker.
More in CNBC

Shaun Rein is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch or fill in our speakers' request form.

 More links for Shaun Rein at Storify
.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Rising wages in China do not create jobs in the US - Arthur Kroeber

Arthur Kroeber
Will rising wages in China force manufacturers to go back to the US? A report of the Boston Consulting group suggest so, but economic analyst Arthur Kroeber tells in Euro Money that might be a wrong assumption.

Euro Money:
Arthur Kroeber, non-resident fellow of foreign policy at the Brookings-Tsinghua Centre in China, is dubious of the affects of rising wages in China on American employment rates. 
“The hourly labour wage-rate in the US is approximately $34 to $40,” says Kroeber. “In China, it’s about a 10th of this, at around $4 to $5 an hour. Even if Chinese labour costs are rising at around 15% per year, the large w age gap betw een China and the US w ill remain for much longer than predicted by the Boston Consulting Group. 
“Inflation and rising interest rates in China will affect foreign investment in the country, but the Chinese government has planned for this. Investment will slow dow n in comparison to previous years, but it will still remain relatively high. “Much Western investment and manufacturing in China is geared tow ards a Chinese market, thus there is little reason to move Western investment out of China.”
More in Euro Money Arthur Kroeber is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Thursday, July 07, 2011

China's leadership: caught between inflation and deflation - Paul Denlinger

Paul Denlinger
Cooling down inflation, stiff rising wages: China's leadership has a hard time to steer between two evils, writes business analyst Paul Denlinger in Forbes. Things do not look well for the new leaders in 2012.
In effect, Beijing is trying to repeat what the four dragons (Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore) did when oil prices went up in the eighties: it is trying to move to higher value-added industries. But because China’s production base is so large compared to those economies, it raises another question: Who is going to buy all those nice new Chinese products? The export markets of the US and Europe have largely disappeared after the Wall St. meltdown of 2008, and the new Chinese middle class which was going to become the savior of the world has not yet appeared...

In 2009 and 2010, China looked like a genius for its bold action with a stimulus package and investment in infrastructure. In 2011 though, it looks more like China bought extra time for the US economy to recover and US consumers to start spending again. But waiting for Americans to start spending like before is looking more and more like “Waiting for Godot”. But what about China’s middle class? China already has more than 1M persons with individual net worth of more than US$1M, and Chinese are now the leading buyers of luxury goods worldwide.

In fact, these are the people who have made it, and are now buying real estate in the US, Canada, the UK, and Australia. Many of them feel more secure flaunting their wealth overseas and retiring overseas than in China, because they don’t know how the political winds in China may change...

In 2012, a new leadership will come to power in China. In China, these power transitions are carefully orchestrated so that the new leadership can come into power at the best of times, strengthening the legitimacy of the government and party and showing their power in a positive light.

For the first time in the past 30 years, the stars are not lining up the way they should.
More in Forbes.

Paul Denlinger is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Why China keeps on building -Shaun Rein



Shaun Rein
Shaun Rein takes on China-bull James Chanos in CNBC and explains why China keeps on investing in infrastructure and why he is underestimating the current growth of wages.

A fragment of his arguments:
It is common for families of 3-5 people to live in 350 square foot homes; the average house in America is 2,330 square feet according to the National Association of Home Builders. Many workers live 8 people to a room. Workers are moving to urban areas in search of better pay. This year, for the first time, more than 50 percent of the country lives in urban areas, up from 30 percent just a decade ago. As the country continues to urbanize and incomes rise, people need more comfortable living conditions.

Chanos also makes the mistake of underestimating rising incomes. Per capita GDP more than tripled to $3,400 at the end of 2010 from $949 in 2000. The trend is continuing as foreign direct investment (FDI) is rising 25 percent a year, causing a fight for both white collar talent and manufacturing jobs.

Factory salaries at companies like Toyota [TM  79.54   -0.42  (-0.53%)   ]Foxconn are rising 20 percent year on year.  The number of US dollar millionaires has risen to nearly 1 million, when just dozens had that wealth two decades ago. In other words, rising incomes and urbanization are creating demand for empty units.
More in CNBC.

Shaun Rein is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Saturday, May 07, 2011

Wage inequality root of unrest - Wang Jianmao

Wang JianmaoWang Jianmao
Increased social unrest is triggered off by the huge wage inequality in the country, tells CEIBS professor Wang Jianmao in the Australian news paper The National.
While official figures are hard to come by, "the people realise the situation is very bad", says Wang Jianmao, a professor of economics at the China Europe International Business School in Shanghai. Prof Wang partly blames China's model of development for the extent of inequality.

"The emphasis so much is, for example, on manufacturing and investment [but] services are underdeveloped," he says. "We ensure that capital can always get very high returns. We fail to generate enough jobs. That has suppressed the labour income."

While in the cities there is an income gap between many of China's 230 million migrant workers and the better-off locally registered residents, a key factor in inequality is the urban-rural divide.
More in The National.

Professor Wang Jianmao is a speaker at the Chinese Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Why Nouriel Roubini is wrong on China - Shaun Rein

Nouriel Roubini, Turkish economist, professor ...Nouriel Roubini via Wikipedia
The famous economist Nouriel Roubini predicted the American financial crisis, and now says China is in trouble in 2013, writes Shaun Rein in CNBC. But he is dead wrong on basic trends on income, demographics and investment trends.
Shaun Rein on the wages:
Roubini also underestimates wage growth. Minimum wages in Sichuan rose 44 percent last year, mirroring double-digit increases elsewhere. Beijing’s municipal authorities even announced multinationals should have minimum wages 1.5 times that of local firms. Wage inflation is so serious that Foxconn, the maker of products from Amazon.com to Intel and Apple, is mulling a $12 billion investment into Brazil as China no longer has a cheap labor pool.
ntrepreneurs often park profits in their companies rather than taking them out as dividends or salaries as corporate taxes are lower. They also charge housing, vehicle and even gym membership fees as business expenses. This is why income is often understated by economists who don’t dig deep enough.
More in CNBC.

ShaunReinportraitShaun Rein by Fantake via Flickr

Shaun Rein is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your meeting or conference, do get in touch.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Inflation pushes business and workers out of big cities - Marc van der Chijs

Chinese New YearMany do not return after CNY via Wikipedia
Tudou.com founder Marc van der Chijs warns in his weblog that higher prices and wages is forcing businesses and people out of Shanghai and other larger cities in China, getting critical after Chinese New Year:
For years prices have been rising steadily in China. The price of fuel is about 3 times as high as 10 years ago for example, but also daily necessities such as rice keep on going up in price. That is the same all over China, but especially in the big cities the housing prices are also going through the roof. They are now at such a high level that even white-collar workers cannot afford to buy apartments anymore.
I realized this for the first time about 2 years ago, when an employee came to me with a salary increase request. He wanted to buy a house and could not afford it without a higher salary. I did not grant him the higher pay so he left the company, but it made me contemplate about the relation between the level of salaries and the housing prices. They were getting out of sync fast. But housing prices only kept on rising after that, and at a much faster pace than the average salary increase.
Now the increases have reached a critical level, Van der Chijs writes:
There are signs that this may happen sooner rather than later: in Saturday’s English-language newspaper the Shanghai Daily a reporter wrote that so far 90% of the domestic staff did not return from their hometowns to Shanghai after Chinese New Year. Last year the figure was around 30% at this time. And the staff that come back are asking for wage increases of up to 30%, meaning that a full-time cleaning lady now earns around USD 500 per month. If these people are now all staying in their home towns because of better economic conditions very soon their white-collar colleagues will follow their paths.
More in his weblog.

mvanderchijsMarc van der Chijs 

Marc van der Chijs is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. Do you need him at your meeting or conference? Do get in touch.
Enhanced by Zemanta

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

US IT programmers for a China price - Bill Dodson

Bill Dodson
The pendule of globalization is now moving towards the US, notes Bill Dodson in his weblog, where IT programmers cost a much as those in China. An analysis of the moving IT market in the eyes of Bill's American friend:
“They sharpest ones (in India) took their money and left. And the country hasn’t cultivated the rest.” She was enthusiastic about the Dutch, who are producing some “amazing” technologies, she said. She’s also working with a Finnish team. “The Finns are doing some cutting-edge stuff,” she added. So what else is there to do during those long, cold, dark winter days, I wanted to quip (but didn’t). I asked her about the Chinese software team she had been working with six months ago.
“They were so-so. Nothing really sparkling. And now, because the economy in the States has been so bad, American developers are now costing me about the same price.” She gave me an example. “A Chinese team leader quoted me a price of 300 rmb per hour for a programmer. That’s more than $20 and hour: I can get a really good American programmer for that price – and we’ll have a cultural affinity that I’ll never have with the Chinese, even though they may just be a fifteen minute drive down the road from me (in Suzhou).”
Commercial
Bill Dodson is a speaker at the China Speakers Bureau. When you need him at your meeting or conference, do get in touch.


Enhanced by Zemanta